
India's top 10 most valued companies added a combined Rs 1.54 lakh crore to their market capitalisation last week, driven by broad-based buying in heavyweight stocks. The rally pushed the BSE Sensex closer to the psychologically important 79,200 mark, while the Nifty 50 is now eyeing a decisive breakout above the 24,500 level.
Reliance Industries led the charge, contributing the single largest chunk to the weekly gain. The oil-to-telecom conglomerate added over Rs 35,000 crore in market value after its retail and telecom arms reported stronger-than-expected subscriber additions. Tata Consultancy Services followed closely, adding more than Rs 28,000 crore, riding on a fresh wave of deal wins in North America and Europe.
HDFC Bank, the country's largest private sector lender by assets, chipped in with a gain of over Rs 22,000 crore. The bank's stock recovered after a brief correction triggered by profit-booking in the previous fortnight. Other gainers included ICICI Bank, Infosys, and Hindustan Unilever, each adding between Rs 10,000 crore and Rs 15,000 crore to their respective valuations.
Technical analysts tracking the Nifty say the index has formed a bullish flag pattern on the daily chart. A close above 24,500 could trigger a sharp upward move towards 24,800 in the near term. The Sensex, meanwhile, is just 300 points shy of the 79,200 mark. A breach of that level would open the door for a run towards 79,800, a level last seen in early June.
Market breadth, however, remains uneven. While large-caps have led the charge, mid-cap and small-cap indices have underperformed. Analysts caution that the rally is narrow and driven by a handful of stocks. A broader participation is needed for the upmove to sustain beyond the immediate resistance levels.
IT stocks were the standout performers this week, with the Nifty IT index gaining over 3 percent. Banking and financial services also added heft, as falling bond yields boosted sentiment for lenders. On the flip side, metal and realty stocks lagged, hit by concerns over slowing domestic demand and rising input costs.
Foreign portfolio investors were net buyers for the fourth consecutive week, pumping in roughly Rs 12,000 crore into equities. Domestic institutional investors, however, remained cautious, trimming their holdings in select overvalued mid-caps. The net effect was a steady inflow that supported the market's upward bias.
Macroeconomic data released during the week did little to alter the bullish narrative. India's industrial output for May came in slightly below forecasts, but retail inflation eased to a 12-month low of 3.8 percent, raising hopes of a rate cut by the Reserve Bank of India later this year.
Traders are now focused on the upcoming monthly expiry and the quarterly earnings season. Infosys and HDFC Bank are set to report their June-quarter results next week, and any disappointment in their numbers could derail the momentum. The US Federal Reserve's interest rate decision due later this month will also be a key trigger for global and domestic markets alike.
For now, the bulls remain in control. But the narrow nature of the rally and the proximity to key resistance levels mean the next few trading sessions could decide whether the market breaks out or pulls back.