
India is scaling back its imports of crude oil from Iraq, as the strategic Strait of Hormuz grows increasingly dangerous for tanker traffic. The Persian Gulf waterway, through which nearly a fifth of global oil passes, has seen rising tensions in recent weeks, making insurers demand higher premiums and shipping lines reroute cargoes.
Indian refiners, which have long relied on Iraqi crude to feed their plants, are now scrambling to find alternative barrels. State-owned and private sector refiners have all reduced nominations for Iraqi oil for August loading, market sources told OilPrice.com.
The Strait of Hormuz is a narrow chokepoint between Oman and Iran. For India, it is the primary gateway for crude from Iraq, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, and the UAE. Roughly two-thirds of India's crude imports pass through these waters.
Recent incidents involving commercial vessels near the strait have spooked the market. While no direct attacks on Indian-flagged ships have been reported, the threat of collateral damage has made the route untenable for many risk-averse buyers.
Indian refiners are now actively scouting for alternatives. Offers from West African producers such as Nigeria and Angola are being evaluated. Cargoes from the Americas โ including the United States and Brazil โ are also being considered.
โWe are diversifying our crude basket. The Hormuz route is simply not worth the risk right now,โ a senior executive at a major Indian refinery told OilPrice.com on condition of anonymity. The shift comes at a time when global crude prices are already volatile, with benchmarks hovering near multi-year highs.
The switch to longer-haul crude supplies will inevitably raise shipping costs. Freight rates for voyages from West Africa to India are higher than those from the Persian Gulf. These additional costs could eventually be passed on to Indian consumers, who already face elevated petrol and diesel prices.
Analysts say the impact on retail fuel prices may not be immediate, but if the Hormuz disruption persists for weeks, the pressure will mount. Indian fuel demand remains strong, driven by industrial activity and vehicle usage, leaving little room for supply disruption.
India has been building its strategic petroleum reserves, but those are meant for emergencies. The current situation is not yet deemed a crisis, but the government is monitoring developments closely.
Discussions are also underway with Russia to increase crude purchases, though logistics and payment mechanisms remain hurdles. Another option is to ramp up imports from domestic fields, though India's own output covers only a fraction of its needs.
Looking ahead, Indian refiners are expected to continue reducing dependence on the Gulf, at least until the situation in the Strait of Hormuz stabilises. Whether that happens in weeks or months remains uncertain, but the shift in India's crude procurement strategy is already underway.